The Hatters – The Inside Look

Luton Town arrive in E10 in fifth spot just three points off of the automatic promotion places. After impressive results already this season , manager Nathan Jones is hoping to secure three more points at Leyton Orient tomorrow.

Jones was appointed in early January 2016 after moving from first team coach at Brighton. The Welshman has relished his first managerial role at Kenilworth Road and with a summer of recruitment, the signs appear that Luton are ready to challenge at the top of the table.

Jones described Luton as “Playing our way” a style of play which he has tailored from his influences throughout his career. Speaking in his first interview as Luton manager to lutontown.co.uk he spoke about how his career developed and his movement into coaching. Jones spoke about taking snippets from the managers he has worked alongside such as Chris Hughton and Oscar Garcia.

  • Worked with Oscar Garcia at Brighton, Garcia worked in Spain and played under Johan Crufyt at Barcelona
  • Chris Hughton at Brighton, management skills and how to keep your squad motivated.

Jones spoke about how his style of play suits Luton Town and their philosophy, he described his style of play “play with a tempo, pass the ball quickly, be good to watch, create chances and win football matches”

Luton’s academy philosophy – http://www.lutontown.co.uk/documents/academy-philsophy175-2077478.pdf

It is clear that Jones’s style has been implemented at Luton with the preferred formation a 4-4-2 midfield diamond with the full backs providing the width in his side. Jones’s side look to find intricate and incisive passes in the midfield.

Last time out

luton-vs-crewe-formation

Formation against Crewe last weekend

The diamond allows overload in central areas with the midfield 3 (Gray, Ruddock and McGeehan) the license to push forward and go past the two strikers. Lee offers protection in front of the back, to allow the attacking players to create chances and score goals. The two (Gray and Ruddock) are energetic and like to push forward.

luton-shape-vs-crewe

Luton (orange) have a clear set up. The back four with the midfield diamond in front of them. 

midfield-two-break-and-go-past

Gray looking for the ball over the top of the defense

midfield-two-break-and-go-past-2

Luton’s goal vs Crewe, Ruddock’s ball over the top finds Gray. He squares to Hylton  to tap home

 

Jones’s teams like to play out from the back with the full backs providing the width, allowing Lee to pick the ball up and look to find the midfielders in attacking areas.

lee-deep-full-back-wide

Lee Drops deep to pick the ball up to start the attack with the full back offering width

According to Luton’s philosophy “Players are required to play with good quality from wide areas and deliver the ball into the box when the opposition prevent entries from central areas. We encourage a Full Back to join in late and fast at every opportunity to create maximum width during attacking phases”

With the midfield overloaded the space when the opposition cannot be penetrated is wide:

narrow-midfield-wide-defence

right-back-offer-the-width

Problems with the Diamond

When teams play the the diamond midfield, the space for both sides is on the wings (full back for team playing diamond and the wingers for the opposing team). The full backs provide a key role in both playing the diamond and against the diamond.

Keys for creating space

  • Quick change of play
  • Good tempo
  • With the ball over one side of the pitch, a quick switch of play can bypass the whole diamond and create space 2 vs 1 against the full back
narrow-midfield-diamond

Vs Cheltenham, all four midfield are very narrow, with Cheltenham having space to exploit wide

narrow-midfield-full-back-in-space

Vs Hartlepool, width allowed for both winger and full back to create 2 vs 1 situation

narrow-diamond-width-vs-crewe

vs Crewe last weekend. Goal – the switch of play in the center created 2 vs 1 situation on the right. the winger crosses to the back post where man unmarked to score

However, if the diamond needs to be tight in order for the angles for passing to be created. Against Grimsby, if the diamond is too wide, there is space to exploit in between the midfield four:

when-diamond-too-wide

Set pieces  – As per the academy philosophy “In this phase we try to encourage the players to be creative with Set Pieces and vary the outcome. We continue to instil an ideal of “can we” play quickly where possible but looking to test ourselves with more inventive ideas to result in more successful outcomes. We look for players in this phase to make better and more clinical decisions, particularly around the penalty area and taking into consideration the elements and conditions that are “on offer!” http://www.lutontown.co.uk/documents/academy-philsophy175-2077478.pdf 

Here are there set pieces and different routines they have used this season – including one they used to score against West Brom U23’s recently: Set Pieces (click link)

Strike Force

Luton Town are the league’s second top goal scorers with only Doncaster (25) scoring more than them (21). The striking partnership of Jack Marriott and Danny Hylton have netted 0 of their 21 goals in the league this season.

The pair are different strikers but have the same impact when Luton are breaking and playing on the counter attack.

two-front-men-split

The pair split, allowing the option for the man in possession

Danny Hylton – lethal in the penalty area

Luton’s top scorer is always on the move in the penalty area, looking for a loose ball. Anticipation is key for Hylton who scored last weekend against Crewe with his movement inside the box. All of his 7 league goals have been scored inside the box and has the ability to be in the right place and the right time.

hylton-on-the-move

Vs Wycombe – Hylton anticipating the loose ball in the box. Always on the move and first to strike if the opportunity arises

Jack Marriott 

He plays on the shoulder of the last defender utilizing his pace to punish high defences. Marriott is short and has a low center of gravity enabling him to pick out positions in attack. The striker likes to pick up positions in the channel between full back and center half, for the slide ball to run on to and score.

marriott-run-vs-orient-at-luton-1516

Formation against Crewe last weekend

marriott-vs-plymouth

Marriott’s run vs Plymouth

movement-in-the-channels

Luton can go long with Marriott more than willing to make the run in the channel

Marriott and Hylton Partnership – (click link to see Marriott’s and Hylton goals so far this season)

Alongside the front two, Cameron McGeehan is key to Luton Town. The midfielder has scored 5 goals already this term and loves to make a late entry into the box from a cross from the full back or wide areas.

mcgeehan-vs-doncaste

McGeehan’s run vs Doncaster, helping him grab a goal

Luton will like to have large spells of possession but it is key for Orient to stay compact and prevent space in central areas. Playing a high line is dangerous with the pace of Marriott in behind. The wingers and full backs will be one of the key elements for Leyton Orient tomorrow. The counter attack can be a key area for attack for Orient with the wingers exploiting the space wide left by the midfield diamond.

 

 

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“We are More than Capable of Delivering a Strong Performance”

New Leyton Orient manager Alberto Cavasin relished his first full week on the training pitch ahead of Luton Town’s visit tomorrow afternoon. The Italian who was appointed at the start of October saw his side lose two games in his first week in charge but with no midweek game, his sole focus has been on the Hatters.

  • Orient sit 20th on 11 points (just 2 points above relegation zone)
  • No win in last 7 games in all competitions (3rd September, 2-1 vs Morecambe)

Speaking to leytonorient.com earlier today (Friday), “no midweek fixture has enabled us to spend a full week on the training pitch and focus on the test that Luton will give us tomorrow”. Orient have been in poor form since the start of September but Cavasin is hoping the players effort will be rewarded tomorrow, “all the players have worked hard throughout the week and hopefully it will pay off tomorrow. They are taking everything on board both individually and collectively as a team”.

  • League Record – P12 W3 D3 L6 F12 A15
  • Form in last 8 league games – W1 d2 L5  F6 A12
  • Form (most recent first) – LLDLLLDW

Orient lost their third home game in a row to Portsmouth last weekend as their win less run continued. It was Cavasin’s first home game in charge of the O’s but it didn’t go to plan when Christian Burgess headed home for a corner early in the second half. Cavasin acknowledges that his side must be better from set pieces, speaking early today to leytonorient.com ‘ Unfortunately last weekend, we were undone by another set piece and that has to stop’

  • Home Record – P6 W1 D0 L5  F4 A7
  • Only Newport (2) and Exeter (1) have taken less points at home
  • Last home games (most recent first) – LLLWLW
  • 2 of Orient’s last 4 goals conceded at home have been from set pieces – 
  • Luton’s Town Set Piece Dangers (click link for Luton’s set pieces this season)

Defender Jens Janse is looking for his side to stay focused when Luton travel to Leyton tomorrow. The Dutch defender joined in September but his debut did not go to plan when he was sent off 21 minutes in against Plymouth. However the 30 year old is hoping for his side to bounce back, “we lost last week and it was frustrating but we have another game on Saturday. We have to keep the hard work going and try to get the three points”.

  • Only kept 2 clean sheets in 15 games this season
  • Only kept 1 in 8 home games
  • Conceded in last 5 home games and 13 out of 15 games this season
  • Conceded 13 of their 15 goals in the second half
  • Including 11 of their last 12
  • Only Yeovil 14 have conceded more in that period
  • Orient have conceded 5 goals between 46-60 minutes and 7 in last 15 minutes of matches
  • No team in  league 2 has conceded more in that period – dropped 6 points

Continuing in his interview with leytonorient.com today, Janse knows what to expect with an Italian manager, “I played in Italy so have some experience with Italian managers. Tactically they are very strong, he (Cavasin) is a good coach, all the boys like him, he is a funny guy and try to get the spirit in the team” . After a full week of training, Janse has seen that Cavasin’s ideas are being put into practice “you can see in training we are slowly getting the shape and hope to see results. We work tactically more as a group and will look to take the 3 points on Saturday”.

  • 4 of Orient’s 6 defeats have been by just 1 goal

Despite Orient’s lowly position, Janse is certainly looking up, “all the teams in this league are close to each other, if we start to win games, we will soon by in the play off places”. The defender by trade was played in a midfield role last weekend after injuries to Nigel Atangana and Liam Kelly but insists his side have to “look at ourselves tomorrow, if we play well, stay compact and play as a team then we can win every match, we hope to take the 3 points and look towards the top of the table”.

  • Failed to score in last 4 games and 5 out of the last 6
  • Only scored one goal in last 566 minutes of competitive football
  • Both Teams have only scored in 1 of their last 6 games 
  • Orient are the second lowest scorers at home – only Exeter (1) have scored less in front of their home fans

Cavasin’s side face another one of the pre season contenders for promotion tomorrow, with the Italian acknowledging the threat the Hatters will pose, “Luton are a very good team, we will certainly not be underestimating them. Their position in the table shows how tough tomorrow’s game will be for us”. But the 60 year old is confident that his side can pick up a result “I do not doubt the quality of the quality of the squad here and we are more than capable of delivering a strong performance that will give us maximum opportunity to come away with a positive result”.

  • Record scoring first – W3 D2 
  • 42 of Orient’s 45 points collected in 2016 have been when they have scored first goal
  • Won 13 of their last 15 games scoring first
  • Only lost 1 of their last 21 games scoring first (Exeter 1-3 home, 18/01/16) –             W14 D6 L1
  • Record Conceding first – L6
  • Not won any of their last 17 games conceding first – W0 D2 L15
  • Only picked up 1 win in their last 31 conceding first (3-2 Portsmouth, 26/12/16)      W1 D9 L21

Luton arrive in E10 following their third consecutive 1-1 draw in the League with Crewe Alexandra last weekend. Danny Hylton put the Hatters ahead in the first half before Ryan Lowe headed the away side level. Luton have been unpredictable at the start of the season but sit 5th, just three points behind third placed Carlisle.

  • League Record – P12 W5 D4 L3  F21  A13
  • Only Doncaster (25) have scored more than Luton

Manager Nathan Jones feels his side are in a real strong place after the first 12 games of the season however the former Brighton first team coach revealed that they are slightly behind his points target. Speaking to lutontown.co.uk on Thursday “we could be in a better position, on the whole we are slightly behind my target but we have had a great start with good results but we are now refocusing”

  • Away Record – P6 W2 D2 L2  F9 A6
  • Last away games (most recent first) – DDLWWLW
  • Form in last 8 – W3 D3 L2  F14  A9
  • Form (most recent first) – DWDDWLLW

The Hatters have picked some impressive result already this season over Aston Villa (3-1), Plymouth (3-0) Wycombe (4-1), Donny (3-1) with Jones stated that “the club is in a good place and we have bedded in some real youngsters”. The last two games Luton have been pegged back after taking the lead but Jones knows his side are still firmly in the mix “we haven’t been out of the top 7, we don’t want to be, we want to be in the top 3″

  • Only kept 3 clean sheets in 16 games this season – 2 in league, both away from home
  • No clean sheet in last 7 league matches
  • Kept only 1 clean sheet in last 9 games in all competitions ( 2-0 vs WBA U23

Jones was appointed at the start of 2016 and after a summer of recruiting feels he now has the squad capable of challenging, “we have a good squad to cope, they are in a good place, we would like to be top, the competition and environment around the club is wonderful. We now have balance, quality and variation”.

  • 4 of their 12 league matches have ended 1-1
  • 3 of their 5 wins have been by 3 goals (2 away from home)

The Luton boss things a key to his side succeeding is concentrating on what they do, speaking to lutontown.co.uk we don’t judge ourselves on anybody else, if we get enough things right over the season, we will be in a good position”. Jones has brought a passing style of play to Kenilworth Road and is looking for his side to play “their way tomorrow”.

  • Only failed to score in 2 of their 16 games this season and 1 of their 6 away games
  • Scored in their last 5 games and 9 of their last 10
  • Danny Hylton (7), Jack Marriott (3), Cameron McGeehan (5) have scored 15 of their 21 league goals – been involved in 17/21 goals

Luton won 1-0 at Brisbane Road in March but thinks that Orient are in a false position for the squad they possess, “they have got better players than what they have shown, there are no easy games at this level”. Jones main concern ahead of Orient tomorrow is “what we turn up and do. If we go there and play how we can play, it takes a very good side to beat us. We have a way of playing that we like enjoying. All I can effect is my players”

  • Only Morecambe (14) have scored more second half goals than Luton (13)
  • 5 of their last 6 goals scored in all competitions have been in the second half
  • Have scored 7 goals in the last 15 minutes of matches – a league high with Notts County

Defender Scott Cuthbert is relishing a return to his former club tomorrow but was disappointed on the manner of the goal conceded last week. Speaking to lutontown.co.uk after the Crewe draw”we are disappointed to concede a goal with their only real chance, we haven’t stopped the cross and not dealt with the only man in the box. We take the positives from it, it is another point against a team that will be up there”.

  • Record scoring first – W4 D3 L1
  • Have drew last 2 scoring first and are unbeaten in their last 4 scoring first
  • Only lost 1 of their last 20 games scoring first – W15 D4 L1
  • Lost just 3 of their last 33 scoring first – all defeats coming away from home

Cuthbert enjoyed four years at Brisbane Road before departing for the Hatters in 2015 and will be looking to replicate his performance in early March, “I always enjoy going back to former clubs, we will work on everything this week leading to the Orient game”

  • Record conceding first – W1 D1 L2
  • Only won 2 of their last 22 conceding first – W2 D4 L16

Team News

Orient will be without the suspended Robbie Weir who serves the last match of his three game ban. Liam Kelly remains a doubt after being subsituted in the first half against Portsmouth last week while Nigel Atangana is also a doubt after missing the last five matches with a groin injury. Midfielder Harry Cornick is still sidelined through injury.

Luton will be without Ollie Lee who is suspended while midfielder Danny Green and Nathan Doyle remain absent. Johnny Mullins and Craig Mackail-Smith are back fit and in contention.

Head to Head – Leyton Orient 16 , Draw 14 , Luton Town 30

Last meeting – 05/03/2016 – Leyton Orient 0-1 Luton Town

  • Orient have lost two of the last three meetings between sides
  • Orient last beat Luton in 2008 when they completed the league double over the Hatters
  • Orient have won two of the last five meetings
  • Orient have only won twice since 1979
  • Luton have won 14 out of the last 19 meetings between sides
  • Luton have scored in 12 of the last 13 games against Orient
  • Luton have scored on their last 6 trips to Brisbane Road

Prediction – Leyton Orient 1-1 Luton Town

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Burgess’s Header Keeps Orient Slipping

Chritstian Burgess’s header 12 minutes into the second half inflicted Leyton Orient’s fifth defeat in their last six games. The Portsmouth center half rose highest from a corner early in the second half helped move his side back to fourth before their trip to league leaders Plymouth next weekend.

It was the away side who made most of the running seeing a Connor Chaplin effort ruled out for offside with Gary Roberts and Kyle Bennett also going close. In Albetto Cavasin first league match in charge, Orient struggled to create going forward, not being helped with an injury to captain Liam Kelly after 4 minutes. However their achilles heel cropped up once more when Burgess headed in from a corner in the second half.

Following their 1-0 defeat to Southend in the EFL trophy in midweek, new boss Alberto Cavasin made five changes to his side. Alex Cisak returned in goal while Yvan Erichot, Jens Janse, Jay Simpson and Paul McCallum all returned to the starting 11.

orient-vs-portsmouth-starting-11

Orient’s Starting 11

After back to back league defeats, Portsmouth boss Paul Cook was looking to build from his sides 2-2 draw with Reading U23’s in midweek. The former Chesterfield manager made two changes from the side that lost at home to Doncaster last weekend: Kyle Bennett came in on the left for Kai Naismith while Amine Linganzi made his first league start in place of Danny Rose who dropped to the bench.

portsmouth-vs-orient

Portsmouth Starting 11

orient-vs-pompey-after-kelly-injury

Orient’s shape after Kelly’s injury

In a fast pace start from Orient they looked to get about Portsmouth early on with winger Ulrich Nnomo having a cross blocked before Paul McCallum saw a tame effort blocked by the feet of David Forde. Despite showing early signs, Orient were handed a blow when captain Liam Kelly was stretchered off with an injury with Sandro Semedo coming on in his place.

 

Portsmouth who had conceded first in their last six games thought they had broken that sequence when Connor Chaplin brilliantly volleyed home an Enda Stevens cross however the linesmen ruled the goal out. Pompey were enjoying large spells of possession with both Gareth Evans and Enda Stevens giving their side outlets from their full back positions.

The high press from Portsmouth was causing the home side problems with the first signs of Alberto Cavasin’s style of play being seen. A major problem for the O’s this season has been their inability to defend from set pieces and it nearly came to fruition once more. A Gary Roberts corner found an unmarked Linganzi, but the midfielder could only head wide.

Referee Christopher Sarginson was then in the center of the controversy when it appeared Orient defender Yvan Erichot had been hauled down in the penalty area. However despite heavy appeals for the O’s players and the home crowd, Sarginson waved away the protests.

With the Portsmouth press having more and more influence, home keeper Alex Cisak nearly gifted them the opening goal. Following Connor Chaplin’s pressure, Cisak’s poor clearance found Gary Roberts who laid off to Chaplin but Cisak redeemed himself with a smart save.

The interchange between the attacking four of Pompey was causing danger for Orient with Roberts and Kyle Bennett picking the ball up in the area in-between defence and midfield. Bennett’s cross shot nearly handed Roberts with a tap in but the ball went agnozingly past him. Before Bennett tumbled inside the box but Sarginson waved away appeals and cautioned the Pompey winger.

Chaplin volleyed wide late on in the first half while Gary Roberts saw a cross go inches wide off the far post on the stroke of half time.

Orient manager Cavasin changed shape and personnel at the break bringing on Alan Dunne for striker Paul McCallum as Orient moved to a 4-5-1 system with Jay Simpson being supported by Gavin Massey from midfield.

orient-vs-pompey-second-half

Orient’s formation 2nd Half

Orient’s shape nearly created the opening goal for their side at the start of the second half. With Pompey caught in possession, Alan Dunne pounced nicking the ball from Michael Doyle, his run on goal ended with a attempted chip which keeper David Forde managed to grab.

However, Orient’s poor defensive record in the second half was highlighted once more and once again it came from a set piece. Only Yeovil (14) have conceded more second half goals than Orient (13). A Carl Baker corner was headed home by Christian Burgess who evaded the marking of Yvan Erichot to head home the opening goal.

With Orient trailing, Portsmouth were having plenty of joy exploiting the space left at the back by the hosts. However despite breaking several times forward, the final ball for the visitors was lacking when presented with the opportunities.

Portsmouth could have wrapped up victory nine minutes from time when a Baker cross was headed on to his own post by Nicky Hunt. Orient threw men forward in the search of an equalising goal with Tom Parkes and Sandro Semedo having efforts blocked following a Callum Kennedy corner.

However, Orient could not force a goal leaving them winless in their last seven matches. Portsmouth move to fourth after their win, two points behind third placed Carlisle United.

Well, another week, another defeat. The same old story really. It is clear to see that Cavasin is trying to have an influence on the playing style of his side but without your three central midfielders that provides a hard challenge.

Pre match comments about playing out from the back nearly was Orient’s undoing, as noted Portsmouth like to press the ball high with Orient lucky on several occasions not to be punished.

However with only one goal scored in the last 540 minutes of competitive football, that is the major problem. Going forward, Orient looked lost of ideas in attacking areas and unable to unlock a defense which left the door opened at times yesterday.

Understandably without three central midfielders that will be tough, but surely there has to be an idea of how to overcome this problem? Then, along with the inability to score, Orient have the inability to defend any set piece. Portsmouth could have had two or three from corners today with Orient players not doing their jobs probably.

Games are won and lost on set pieces, more than often lost when you watch Leyton Orient with manager Cavasin revealing that he did not have enough time to cover set pieces in his first week in charge. Yvan Erichot was the man guilty this week, losing Burgess in the box who headed home the winner. 

It is only two games in, so you have got to give Cavasin some time to bed into English football but with Orient sitting just two points above the relegation zone, the immediate signs do not look good at Brisbane Road…..

 

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“A Challenge We Feel we Can Overcome”

New Leyton Orient manager Alberto Cavasin is relishing his first home league game against Portsmouth tomorrow afternoon. The 60 year old Italian was appointed on a two year contract last Sunday and took charge of his sides 1-0 EFL Trophy defeat to Southend in midweek.

  • Orient sit 17th, on 12 points
  • 5 points off the play offs and 3 off the relegation zone

Cavasin who has managed a host of clubs in Serie A, most recently Sampdoria in 2011, jumped at the opportunity to manage in England. Speaking to BBC London on Tuesday night “it was an unexpected surprise, I only knew about the job 48 hours ago. I am very happy with the opportunity, it is a great chance for me. This football is a perfect fit for my ideas”

  • League Record – P11 W3 D3 L5 F12 A14
  • Form in last 8 – W2 D2 L4 F8 A12
  • Form in all competitions – LDLLLDW

Cavasin becomes the ninth man since 2014 to manage Orient for at least one game but was encouraged by his sides performance at Southend, “there were some encouraging signs and we had good intensity throughout the match”. Speaking to leytonorient.com earlier today (Friday), “we played some good football at times and if we can continue to build on that over the coming weeks then we will get back to winning games”.

  • Only kept 2 clean sheets in 14 games this season
  • Their clean sheet last weekend at Barnet was their first in 8 games
  • Only kept 1 clean sheet in 7 games at home this season

Orient are without a win since the 3rd September and will be looking to bounce back tomorrow at home. The O’s have struggled at Brisbane Road this season, losing four of their five league matches  but Cavasin is looking forward to the encounter, “I cannot wait to experience my first home game and have been looking forward to it ever since I arrived”.

  • Home Record – P5 W1 D0 L4 F6 A8
  • Only Newport (2) and Exeter (0) have taken less points at home than Orient (3)

Orient lost their last home match to Plymouth but after being reduced to nine men early on the home crowd got behind the O’s. Cavasin thanked the Orient fans and staff for the welcomed he has received this week, “I would like to thank the fan for their support on Tuesday and everyone at the club who has made me feel welcome” With a big crowd in E10 expected tomorrow, Cavasin is confident that the home crowd can push his side to a victory, “I know they will be behind us and hope they can help us through what will be a positive result and performance”

Striker Paul McCallum was frustrated that his side could only draw with Barnet last weekend, however was happy that his side stemmed the flow of defeats. McCallum who has seen a settled run in the side is happy to be back alongside Jay Simpson in the Orient attack. The pair started last season very well but after McCallum’s injury in late September, the pair have only now started to form that partnership once more. Speaking earlier to leytonorient.com,  “it is good to be back. I believe that one of us will score every game, we scored goals between us last season when we started off well and we hope to rebuilding that”

  • Orient have failed to score in their last 3 games, the first time this has happened since November 2012
  • Only scored once in their last 450 minutes of competitive football
  • Scored in 9 of their 14 games and 4 of their 7 home matches this season
  • Both teams have scored in only 1 of their last 5 matches and 1 of their last 5 home matches

With the appointment of Cavasin, McCallum described it as an “interesting week” but despite the language barrier, the front man stated “you don’t have to speak English to manage, the body language and noises he makes, you know what he means and what he expects. You know as players what a manager should expect”.

  • Orient have only conceded 2 of their 14 goals in the first half
  • But only Yeovil (14) have conceded more second half goals than Orient (12)
  • 7 of those 12 goals have been conceded in the last 15 minutes of matches (76-90)
  • No team in league 2 has conceded more, Orient would sit 5th if games ended after 75 minutes
  • The O’s have dropped a league high 6 points between 76-90 minutes

McCallum praised the approach of Cavasin and his style of play he is trying to imposed on the O’s, “he wants us to play out from the back and not to be scared of making mistakes. It is important that a manager doesn’t mind that, it is going to happen but as long as he sticks with is and keeps us motivated it will be good”.

  • Record scoring first – W3 D2 L0
  • Orient have won 13 of their last 15 games scoring first – taking 39 of a possible 45 points
  • 42 of their 45 league points collected in 2016 have come when Orient have scored the first goal
  • The O’s have only lost 1 of their last 21 scoring first – Exeter (3-1, 16/01/16) – W14 D6 L1

After completing the league double over Portsmouth last season, McCallum is expecting a big test when Pompey arrive tomorrow. McCallum spent a loan spell at Fratton Park back in 2015 and acknowledges that “Portsmouth are a team that will always be going to be pushing for promotion, come the weekend it will be a big test for us, to see how good we really are compared to them. As long as we stick to the game plan and play how we can, we can get some points”.

  • Record conceding first – L5
  • All four home defeats this season have come when they have conceded first
  • Orient have not won their last 16 games when conceding first – W0 D2 L14
  • Only have one win in their last 30 game conceding first – 26/12/15 – 3-2 vs Portsmouth

Cavasin echoed McCallum thoughts on Portsmouth, speaking earlier today to leytonorient.comthey have a good squad and having watched a number of their games, we know we are in for a tough challenge but one we feel we can overcome”. It has been a hectic and busy week for the Italian but is hoping his side can build on the work they have put in, “we have a strong squad and it is about bringing out the best of the players on a match day and with type of football we are looking to play, I hope we can achieve plenty of positive results”

Portsmouth arrive in E10 on the back of two consecutive league defeats to Blackpool (3-1) and most recently Doncaster (2-1) last weekend. Pompey conceded two early goals and were unlucky to not pick up a point against Donny but with the club looking firmly at promotion, they will be looking to bounce back tomorrow.

Pompey Love Home Comforts – Analysis

  • Pompey sit 6th on 17 points
  • League Record – P11 W5 D2 L4 F18 A12
  • Only Luton (20) and Doncaster (22) have scored more goals in the league than Pompey (18)

Pompey drew 2-2 with Reading U23’s in midweek in the EFL trophy with first team coach Ian Foster happy with his sides response after falling 2-0 down. Speaking to portsmouthf.co.ukwe reacted really well to the goals, we kept passing, going forward and creating chances, forcing our way back in “

  • Form in last 8 – W5 D0 L3 F17 A9
  • Form in all competitions – DLLWLWW
  • Away Record – P5 W1 D1 L3 F2 A6
  • They are the lowest scorers away from home
  • Only Wycombe (1), Stevenage (2) and Cheltenham (3) have taken less points away from home

It is has been a tale of recent matches with Pompey falling behind with manager Paul Cook very disappointed with his sides opening 15-20 minutes last week at home to Doncaster. Speaking post match to portmouthfc.co.uk I was disappointed with how we started we built a description of how we play, getting about teams but we never got to grips with them in the first 20 minutes”.

  • Have lost their last 3 away matches all competitions
  • No clean sheet in last 6 games, last one came 3rd September in 3-0 win over Crawley
  • Have kept 4 cleans sheets in 14 games this season and 2 of 7 away games
  • Only Plymouth (5) have kept more clean sheets that Portsmouth (4)

Captain Michael Doyle highlighted that recent results have papered over the cracks of conceding an early goal, speaking to portsmouthfc.co.uk “it has been a habit of late, we have had an early goal against us but we have managed to win them games”However after falling to back to back defeats Doyle insists it will show the character of his side and how they bounce back tomorrow against Orient. Speaking after the Donny defeat  “we need to pick ourselves up, dust ourselves down, it happens in football. It shows what you made of, hopefully it will galavanise us, we are going through a bade phase and we need to be better

  • 9 of their 12 goals conceded have been in the 1st half,
  • Have conceded  first in last 5 matches (6 in all competitions), 5 of them have been in the first 30 minutes of matches
  • 7 of their 12 goals conceded have been in the first 30 minutes of matches – the most in the division
  • Portsmouth are the only side  in the league have not conceded a league goal after the 65th minute 

Cook described his sides application on Tuesday night as “first class” and is looking for more of the same in Leyton tomorrow. Speaking ahead of the clash with Orient tomorrow to leytonorient.co.uk “we are looking forward to the game, it will be a good game with great travelling support, the challenge ahead for us is what we do with this group of players and us as a club. Our danger is not other teams in this league, our danger is being the best we can be”

  • Have scored  in their last 4 games, and 10 of their last 11 games in competitions
  • Only scored in 2 of their 5 away league matches this season
  • Both teams have scored in their last 4 games and 5 of their last 6 games
  • Have scored 10 of their 18 goals in the first half
  • Only 2 0f their 18 goals have been scored away
  • Have gained 4 points in the last 15 minutes

Cook reflected on his sides position after the opening 11 games and understands that consistency will be key come the end of the season, “we have shown flashes in the opening 11 games, we work hard with this group of players to get consistency and when we get that results will take care of themselves”. With Pompey’s inconsistent form Cook stated that “ he is searching for that formula and balance. Quality, work ethic and desire, within the group we have got them all but different games have different qualities on the pitch we must get all three on there”.

  • Record scoring first – W3
  • Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last 8 away games scoring first – W5 D2 L1
  • Their last defeat when scoring first away from home was against Leyton Orient (3-2, 26/12/15)

A major issue for Cook and his Portsmouth side has been their away form which he alluded to on BBC Radio Solent after their defeat to Blackpool, “away from home, we cannot keeping offering ourselves up like we’re doing. All the good habits you’re supposed to have in a game: work ethic and desire were not there. We are more concerned about our away form and how we are playing away”.

  • Record conceding first – W2 D1 L4
  • Have lost their last 4 games conceding first
  • Only won one of their last 8 games conceding first

Team News

Orient will be without both Robbie Weir and Jens Janse who will serve their second game of suspension after getting sent off against Plymouth. Midfielder Nigel Atangana remains a doubt alongside Harry Cornick and Sandro Semedo who both came off injured last weekend at Barnet.

Portsmouth will be without defenders Adam Buxton and Drew Talbot who are both out injured while Noel Hunt is a doubt for the game. Gareth Evans looks set to continue in the right back berth while striker Curtis Main will be pushing for a start after scoring both goals in his sides 2-2 draw on Tuesday night.

Head to Head – Leyton Orient 13, Draw 13, Portsmouth 15

Last meeting – 06/02/16 – Portsmouth 0-1 Leyton Orient

  • Orient have won the last six meetings between the sides
  • Completed the league double over Pompey last season
  • Portsmouth have failed to score in 2 of the last 3 meetings
  • Orient have not lost to Portsmouth since 1996, 2-0 defeat at Fratton Park in the League Cup
  • Portsmouth last beat Orient at Brisbane Road in 1975, 1-0 win
  • Orient have won the last 4 games at Brisbane Road, all by a 1 goal margin
  • Orient have only failed to score in 2 of their last 11 meetings with Portsmouth

Prediction – Leyton Orient 2-2 Portsmouth

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Inside Portsmouth FC

Portsmouth host Leyton Orient tomorrow looking to bounce back from a disappointing away defeat to Doncaster eight days ago. Paul Cook’s men sit fourth in League Two, just four points behind third placed Carlisle ahead of the second half of the season. The South Coast club are looking to return back to the third tier but have been chasing down the top three all season. The loss at Doncaster was their first in six games but manager Paul Cook is looking for a reaction from his side.

Cook is quick to point out that despite his side occupying fourth spot, being in the automatic positions at the end of the season is all that is important. Speaking to portsmouthfc.co.uk yesterday “football can be a funny game, we left the ground after Luton, defensively sound, looking strong and the back five were very good. Two days later at Doncaster we were thinking what happened there. Football can be like that, takes it you up and down but what you have to have along the way is a strong mind and belief in what you do”.

He added “The season is not 23 games old, or 36 after 46 games whoever is in the top three will get promoted, we have to concentrate on ourselves and no-one else. We have to stand up and be counted”.

Last Time Out 

pompey-vs-donny

Attacking System

Portsmouth play a 4-4-2 to 4-2-3-1 formation, giving the attacking players license to move across the pitch and across the front line.

Cook tends to impose an attacking style of play with his side looking to push forward and commit men forward. Both full backs have the license to push on and overlap their winger to create chances for their side.

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Gareth Evans in a very high position vs Newport

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Stevens looking to get in behind at the back post

 

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Left back Enda Stevens over lapping vs Doncaster

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Right back Gareth Evans over lapping vs Doncaster

The attacking full backs, help to support the attacking four players who are given license to move across the front line. Michael Smith has led the line in recent weeks with Kai Naismith supporting him with Carl Baker and Kyle Bennett in the wide areas. The two central midfielders provide cover for the attacking players to create and move forward.

midfield-shape

Mitchell Rose and Michael Doyle sitting in front of the back 4 at Blackpool

4-2-3-1

The front four vs Barnet

With Cook talking about balance to his side, he appears to have found a settled core of players who play the majority of the recent games. 9 of the 11 starters vs Doncaster have played the last eight games including all of the Christmas fixtures (3 of these games have been at home)

starters-in-last-8-games

Defensively Porstmouth have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 games including four in their last five game in all competitions. A major factor to this has been the settled back five that have started the last 11 league games : David Forde, Enda Stevens, Christian Burgess, Matt Clarke and Gareth Evans. 

In those 11 games, they have kept six clean sheets conceding only nine goals in the process. 

Going forward,

Gary Roberts is one of the league’s best in creating chances for his side. With his partnership with Connor Chaplin flourishing, the pair have been involved in a number of Portsmouth’s goals this season. Chaplin and Roberts have built the understanding that one will look to go in behind the defense while the other will come short to receive the ball. Roberts is very dangerous in between the midfield and defense, where he can thread balls through to Chaplin or the wide men.

Neither Roberts or Chaplin have started the last four matches however both will looking to earn recall after the defeat to Doncaster last time out. Chaplin staked his claim for a starting berth after netting a hat trick for the reserves in midweek.

chaplin-and-roberts-dembele-red

Roberts short and Chaplin going behind forcing Barnet’s red card

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Chaplin short and Roberts going in behind vs Blackpool

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Roberts, running at the back four in between the lines

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Danger of Roberts Creating space in between lines

Set Pieces

Like most sides in the lower leagues, set pieces can be an integral part of success in matches. Portsmouth have aerial targets who will possess a danger in the penalty area tomorrow afternoon. Christian Burgess has netted three times this season for Portsmouth all from set pieces including the decisive goal between Orient and Portsmouth in October. 

Penalties

With the attacking quality that Portsmouth possess, they will commit men forward in attacking areas looking to get behind opposition defences.

The South Coast club have been awarded eight penalties this season already, with six being given at Fratton Park. 

 

Pressing

Portsmouth look to press their opponents high when they are in possession and look to nick to the ball creating overload in attacking areas. Pompey look to press their opponents at home more with first team coach Ian Foster describing their 2-2 draw with Reading on Tuesday as “a great game with two teams trying to play football in the right manner. It was a really high tempo game with both teams pressing the living daylights out of each other”.

high-press-vs-crawleyCook spoke on Thursday to portsmouthfc.co.uk all of our good performances are when hardest we are the hardest working team on the pitch, our worse are when we are not working hard”. Cook stated that his team were not aggressive enough against Doncaster last weekend.

pressing-pompey-at-blackpoolThe highlights above,  emphaise the way Portsmouth press the opposition but also shows that if they are caught themselves with too many men in advanced areas they can be pressed and punished too

aggressive-trying-to-win-ball-back

Four men trying to win the ball back high up the pitch

press-vs-luton

Kyle Bennett pressing vs Luton, forcing a free kick for the opening goal

 

Runners from Deep 

Portsmouth have conceded poor goals this season and their last  6 goals conceded in the league could all be prevented with out individual errors. All three Doncaster goals last weekend could have been prevented with errors and poor marking.

marquis-for-donny

Marquis run for Doncaster’s first

2nd-man-runner-home-vs-doncaster

Andy Williams, picking up a flick on unmarked to volley home Doncaster’s second

Leyton Orient will need to watch the press from Portsmouth tomorrow afternoon as sides have not learnt about it this season including Orient in the first meeting between the sides.

Gary Roberts and Connor Chaplin will be threats if they start tomorrow while the Orient backline will have to watch the interchange in midfield between the three behind the striker.

Orient will have to be very aware of the attacking nature of both full back with Evans and Stevens both very adept in attacking areas. Both have scored and assisted this season from their full back position and will be looking to add to that tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

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“We Need to Put Those Performances With 11”

Leyton Orient midfielder Gavin Massey acknowledges that his side has set a minimum performance level after their 2-0 defeat to Plymouth on Tuesday night. Despite losing the game, the O’s played 76 minutes with nine men after captain Robbie Weir and right back Jans Jense were dismissed.

  • Sit 16th on 11 points
  • League Record – P10 W3 D2 L5  F12  A14

Argyle struggled to break down a resolute Orient side with Massey insists to leytonorient.com we put in the hard work, despite them having two extra men, they didn’t look like breaking us down. We dug in real deep and put in a performance but at the end of the day we need to start winning games”.

  • Only Mansfield (3), Cheltenham (2) and Newport (1) have taken less points in September than Orient (4)

The defeat on Tuesday was Orient’s third in a row and was the first in charge for Interim manager Andy Edwards who took over after Andy Hessenthaler who was sacked on Monday. Orient travel the short distance to Barnet tomorrow looking to stop the run of defeats and move up the table.

  • Form – LLLDWWL
  • Away Form – LDWWD
  • Away Record – P5 W2 D2 L1  F8  A8

Edwards who takes the reigns again tomorrow, acknowledges that his side need to take the positives from Tuesday into the rest of the season. Speaking earlier today to leytonorient.com We had a lot to take from Tuesday, the support from the fans, the effort from the players, it really galvanised us as a club and we need to take that forward into Barnet”.

  • Only kept 1 clean sheet in 12 games this season
  • Only kept 1 clean sheet in last 10 away games (1-0 win over Yeovil, 07/05/16)
  • Conceded at least once in their last 8 games 
  • Conceded 2 or more in 3 of their last 4 games

Edwards moved up from the youth set up to the first team at the start of the season and is not under estimating the threat that Barnet will pose tomorrow, “it is a London Derby, it will be a very tough game. Martin Allen has an excellent track record as a manager, we know he will set his team up organised”. Edwards was involved in the coaching staff when Orient lost to Barnet 3-0 in April, “we were on the end of a beating towards the back end of last season, we are under no illusion how tough it is going to be and we will be fully prepared”.

  • Failed to score in 2 of their last 3 games – both at home
  • Scored in 9 of their 12 matches and all of their away matches
  • Both teams have scored in all of their 5 away games this season

Despite the loss on Tuesday, club captain Nicky Hunt described his team mates as “as a pleasure to play with”. Speaking on Tuesday night to leytonorient.com the character we showed on the pitch is something i have not seen for a long time. It will stay with me but we know that is the minimum we’ve got show for the rest of the season”.

  • Have conceded 14 goals – 12 of them in the second half
  • Only Yeovil (13) have conceded more goals in the second hal
  • Have conceded 4 between minutes 46-60 and 7 between 75-90 minutes
  • 11 of the last 12 conceded by Orient have been in the second half
  • No team has conceded more goals (7) in the last 15 minutes of matches in League 2
  • Orient have dropped 6 points in that period, the most in League 2, they would sit 6th if games ended after 75 minutes

Hunt praised the home crowd support on Tuesday, “that’s what they want to see, work hard, try to win every ball and work out nuts off. That should be the minimum every week, these fans pay good money to come and watch is. We want to put on performances like that but ultimately win the game”.

  • 42 of their 44 league points collected in 2016 have been when they have scored the first goal
  • All 11 points this season have come when they have scored first
  • Orient have won 13 of their last 15 when scoring first – 39 from a possible 45 points
  • Only lost 1 of their last 21 when scoring first – W14 D6 L1 (loss, 16/01/16 vs Exeter)
  • No win in their last 16 conceding first – W0 D2 L14
  • Only won win in their last 29 when conceding first 

With a large away contingent of away supporters expected tomorrow, Edwards highlights that they can play a major role tomorrow. “There has been frustrations, we need them to stick with us, but we need to give them something to cheers for. We have a group of players who are honest, hard working and a group you can trust. It goes two ways and hopefully they can get behind us on Saturday”

Massey is looking forward to working with Edwards who he described as “liking everything in detail”. He continued “That is good for the team, everyone knows their role and what they are doing. Whatever team he puts out on the pitch we are all looking to get the result. We need to working as hard as Tuesday for each other, if the fans see that they will back us the whole way”.

Barnet head into tomorrow’s clash on the back of a 2-2 home draw with Morecambe on Tuesday night. John Akinde twice gave the Bees the lead but they were in the end pegged back in the second half. Martin Allen’s last win came away at Mansfield in early September but since then they have drew two and lost heavily at Portsmouth, 5-1.

  • Sit 17th on 11 points
  • League Record – P9 W2 D5 L2 F10 A12
  • Form – DLDWDLDDW

With just one win in their last eight games, the Bees will hoping for some home comfort tomorrow afternoon. Allen was pleased with Tuesday’s performance but not the result, speaking to barnetfc.com earlier in the week, we were slow out of the blocks again but the players stepped it up a gear which was credit to them”

  • Home Record – P5 W1 D3 L1 F6 A5
  • Home Form – DDLDWLLW
  • 4th best home record last season, only Bristol Rovers (48) and Northampton (50) took more points at home
  • 49 of their last 71 points gained in the league have been at home
  • A real threat for the Bees is the form of striker John Akinde who has netted three in the last two games – more about Akinde here https://footballanalyst.net/2016/09/30/john-akinde-one-to-watch/ 

Morecambe caused Barnet problems in the opening exchanges at the Hive on Tuesday however, the response from his side was exactly what Allen wanted to see “it was the response and how they overcame the problem which impressed me. They got themselves into the game and did really well. We played some good football which was full of energy and spirit”.

  • Only kept 2 clean sheets in the 11 game this season
  • Without one in their last three games
  • Only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 8 games (1-0 win over Mansfield)
  • Kept 1 clean sheet in last 6 at home and only have kept 2 in the last 12 home games

Goalkeeper Jamie Stephens made only his second league appearance of the season on Tuesday and felt his side deserved more, “we were excellent throughout and although we started off slowly, we built our way into the game”. Even though the Bees have found wins hard to come by this season, Stephens is not too concerned. Speaking to barnetfc.com earlier in the week “we are putting in the performances and the results will come. If we keep putting them in like Tuesday, things will click”.

  • Have scored in their last 5 games
  • Only failed to score in 2 of their 11 games this season – both at home
  • Both Teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 games

Allen explained that he knew Orient lost on Tuesday and had two men sent off however stated “we haven’t got access to reports and scouts about what they do and how they play”. But Allen insisted his side would play with the same as always “we prepare ourselves as always, we will put our best team out to go up against the opposition however they may play”. He continued “Put in a good performance, which has been key since I have been here, do us proud, give everything you’ve got and what will be, will be”.

  • Record scoring first – W2 D2 L1 
  • Barnet have won 13 of their last 18 games when scoring first
  • Record conceding first – D3 L1
  • Only won 1 of their last 16 when conceding first – W1 D7 L8 

Team News

Leyton Orient will be without skipper Robbie Weir and defender Jans Jense who were both sent off in Tuesday’s defeat to Plymouth. Midfielders Nigel Atangana and Liam Kelly are both doubts after being forced off on Tuesday while defender Yvan Erichot is struggling with a groin injury picked up last weekend at Notts County.

Barnet will be without long term absentees Michael Gash, Gavin Hoyte and James Pearson who all remain sidelined with injuries. However defender Bira Dembele is back available after serving his suspension picked up last Saturday on Tuesday night. Allen described the team selection as “a difficult decision, we want the same level of performance and atomsphere tomorrow. The crowd were energetic and positive and hope for more of the same tomorrow”.

Head to Head – Barnet 9, Draw 7, Leyton Orient 9

Last meeting – 09/04/2016 – Barnet 3-0 Leyton Orient

  • The last meeting was Barnet’s first win since 1998, Orient were unbeaten in the previous nine matches
  • Only 1 of the last 4 games has seen both team score
  • The last 3 victories between the sides have been by the home side
  • Orient’s last win at Barnet came in 2005, 3-2 win
  • There has been 11 home games for Barnet, 9 of these 11 has seen 3 or more goals

Prediction – Barnet 1-2 Leyton Orient

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John Akinde – One to Watch

John Akinde

Age – 27

Position – Striker

Appearances – 301

Goals – 103

John Akinde the man to watch  for Leyton Orient as they visit the Hive tomorrow afternoon. The O’s will know all too well the threat of Akinde who scored twice in the Bees 3-0 victory over Orient in April.

Akinde has been in stunning form at the start of the season scoring 7 goals in 11 games and netting 3 times in his last 2 games for the Bees. The 6ft 2 striker started his carrer at Ebbslfleet United before signing for Bristol City for £140,000 in 2008. Akinde struggled to make an impression at City where he was loaned 5 times before joining Crawley in 2011 

With the range of clubs, Akinde struggled to find a home and some form of scoring goals. Akinde signed for Barnet in 2014 after a season out of the football league with Alfreton. In his first season, his 33 goals in 49 matches helped fire Barnet back to the football league and the front man has not looked back since.

Akinde was rewarded with a new contract with Bees in the summer, signing a deal till 2019 after netting 24 goals in 48 games last season.

This Season

  • Akinde has netted 7 of Barnet’s 10 league goals
  • 4 of the 7 goals have been scored at home
  • Despite his size, all 7 of his goals have been scored with his feet and inside the box

Akinde terriozes opposition defences with his pace, power and strength and helped him score several goals this season. He likes to run in between the full back and the centre half, with his team mates finding him with a ball over the top.

Orient should know about Akinde’s positioning after netting twice last season:

akinde-header-last-season

Akinde’s first at the Hive last season, header between right back Nicky Hunt and CB Peter Ramage

akinde-last-season

Akinde’s second last season, gambling on a ball forward from midfield.

7 goals this season – 1 penalty vs Portsmouth

vs Accrington

akinde-positions-4

Ball forward, Akinde in the channel 

vs Crawley:

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Ball over top, overpowers Crawley’s cb Alex Davey

vs Mansfield: Akinde will drift into wide areas to drive at the opposition center halves

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Enter a caption

vs Morecambe on Tuesday – 2 goals in similar positions

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First goal on Tuesday, between Right back and center back

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Akinde gambling on ball forward, between left back and center back

 

akinde-runs

Akinde’s traditional runs, in between defenders so they are unsure who to mark

The Key for Orient is to stop the supply at source, pressurizing the defenders so that they cannot find the ball long to Akinde. Out of his 7 goals, 4 have been assisted by the defence, stop the supply, it will help to reduce the threat of Akinde.

 

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The O’s View

Leyton Orient are back in League Two action tomorrow night as they host league leaders Plymouth Argyle. The O’s have fell to back to back defeats to Yeovil (1-0) and more recently Notts County (3-1) which culminated earlier today in the dismissal of manager Andy Hessenthaler. Assistant manager Andy Edwards will be in temporary charge tomorrow night as once again owner Francesco Bechetti searches for a new manager.

Hessenthaler leaves Orient in 14th place on 11 points from their opening nine matches of the campaign. Orient have only taken one point from the last nine available, taking a point away at Carlisle in early September.

  • League Record – P9 W3 D2 L4 F12 A12
  • Home form – P4 W1 D0 L3 F4 A4
  • Lost their last 2 games at home – 1-0 to Yeovil, 2-1 to Mansfield

Orient’s latest defeat came in a 3-1 loss to Notts County on Saturday, early second half goals from Jonathon Forte and Jonathan Stead set County on their way. Orient halved the deficit towards the end when Paul McCallum headed home a Jordan Bowery cross but County substitute Aaron Collins rounded off the scoring late on.

Team last time out

orient-at-notts-county

Starting 11 vs Notts County

Orient struggled to create against County with the O’s once again losing the midfield battle throughout the game. Harry Cornick and Gavin Massey were quiet on the wings, with County’s wing backs causing them more problems.

A major concern for Orient will be their defensive vulnerability with their failure to keep clean sheets. Orient have conceded at least once in their last 7 games, and have only kept 1 clean sheet in their 11 games this season. Despite having as settled back 4, goals are continued to be shipped in the Orient back line.

  • Only kept 2 clean sheets in the last 10 home games
  • Conceded 12 goals this season, 11 in the second half
  • Only Wycombe (12) have conceded more goals in the second half of matches
  • Orient’s last 10 goals have been conceded in the second half
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of Orient’s last 7 matches

For the third away game running, Orient conceded within the first 15 minutes of the start of the second half. However, the lack of concentration in the Orient side, continues in the final 15 minutes of matches where Orient have already conceded 6 goals so far this season.

  • 4 of Orient’s 12 goals conceded have been between minutes 45-60
  • No team in League 2, has conceded more goals in the final 15 minutes of matches than Orient
  • Orient have dropped a league high 6 points in that period, if games ended after 75 minutes, Orient would sit 4th
  • 6 of the 16 goals Orient have conceded in all competitions have been from set pieces

Key Stats

  • 42 of Orient 44 points picked up in 2016 have been when they have scored the first goal
  • All of Orient’s point this season have been when they have scored the opening goal
  • Have won 13 of the last 15 games when they have scored first – taking 39 from a possible 45
  • Orient have only lost 1 of their last 21 games scoring first – W14 D6 L1
  • Defeat came at home to Exeter 3-1 (16/01/16)
  • Orient have not won any of their last 15 games when conceding first – W0 D2 L13
  • Orient only won 1 of the last 29 matches when conceding first – 3-2 vs Portsmouth (26/12/16)

Head to Head – Leyton Orient 18, Draw 10, Plymouth 26

Last meeting – Leyton Orient 1-3 Plymouth – 19/04/16

  • The last meeting was Plymouth’s first win in 5 games
  • Both teams have scored in the last 4 meetings
  • There have been 3 or more goals in 4 of the last 6 meetings
  • Orient have won 3 of the last 5 meetings
  • 2 of the last 4 meetings at Brisbane Road have ended in draws
  • In Argyle’s last three wins they have scored at least 3

My team

orient-preview-vs-plymouth

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Inside Argyle

Top of the table Plymouth Argyle arrive in E10 on a eight match unbeaten run, seeing them shoot to the summit of League 2. Argyle suffered heartache in May losing 2-0 in the League Two play off final to AFC Wimbledon but have their sights set on automatic promotion. After three defeats in their opening three games to Luton (3-0), Carlisle (1-0) and Reading (3-0), playoff heartbreak was at the back of their mind as they looked to go one better this season.

  • 2 point lead over second placed Portsmouth
  • League Record- P9 W6 D1 L2  F11 A7
  • Away Record – P4 W3 D0 L1 F5 A2    
  • Won their last three away matches

Since those three consecutive defeats, Argyle went on a seven  match winning run sending them top of League Two. Saturday’s 1-1 home draw with Hartlepool continued their unbeaten run as Jake Jervis rescued a point with a penalty six minutes from time.

  • No team in the top four leagues in England has taken more points in the League since 14th August than Plymouth – 19 from a possible 21 available.

Derek Adams on Saturday draw with Hartlepool (pafc.co.uk)

We probably didn’t pass the ball quick enough with the precision that we can. We found it difficult to get that goal, we eventually get a penalty and score. Today we have to take the point, move on and keeps the unbeaten record going”

With a summer of looking back at what could have been, manager Derek Adams brought in 14 players in search of a return to the third tier of English Football. After a poor start, a 2-1 victory at Notts County kick started their season with defensive stability being at the fore front for Argyle. Despite being the joint lowest scorers in the top half (11), their joint best defensive record has ensure that Plymouth have won 6 games this season.

  • 4 clean sheets in the last 7 games, including their last two away games
  • Have the joint most clean sheets in the league with Portsmouth (4)
  • Only conceded 2 goals in their 4 away league games

With three of their next four games away from home, it is key for Jervis that everybody in the squad is ready to come into the side. Speaking after the draw on Saturday to http://www.pafc.co.ukthere has been a tough run of games and we are going into another one now. We have a big squad so we can rotate, players need to be ready to come in and play”.

Jervis has not started the last three matches but after netting the equaliser is pushing for a recall tomorrow night, “I am not going to sit on my laurels and sulk. I will push forward looking to get back in the team, players should be happy when winning games whether playing or coming on. Everybody wants to get promotion, everyone is aiming for”.

A key for Argyle on their unbeaten league run has been a settled core of players with only a few changes made to the side. Keeper Luke McCormick, center halves Nauris Bulvitis and Sonny Bradley, midfielder Yann Songo’o and playmaker Graham Carey have started the last 7 league matches. 

Adams has rotated the two full backs, the second deep midfielder and three of the four most advanced players to keep his side fresh and raring for action. In the last three games, 10 of the 11 starters have played all three with the only change coming in attack with David Goodwillie replacing Arnold Garita who missed out through injury.

Team last time out 

plymouth-preview-1st-half

Plymouth’s Starting 11 vs Hartlepool

Plymouth started with a traditional 4-2-3-1 formation with the three men behind the forward David Goodwillie, interlinking and changing positions. However Argyle fell behind in the 21st minute a looping Nathan Thomas cross. Plymouth then found it hard to break down Pool throughout the game. Adams made two substitutions at half time bringing on Connor Smith and Jake Jervis for Yann Songo’o and Jordan Slew.

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Plymouth Formation after 60 minutes

 

 

Still trailing at the hour mark, Adam threw on Jimmy Spencer to partner David Goodwillie  as his side went more direct playing 4-4-2 with Carey switching flanks to the left. The change worked as Spencer was fouled with six minutes remaining as Jervis slotted home from the spot to earn a point.

Argyle like to play a passing brand of football however Adams felt on Saturday that his side became too predictable “We have got to mix our game up at times, we probably could have gone more direct at times. We tried to pass the ball too many times, they had players in positions that were easy to defend. We didn’t do enough, we put the ball in behind and we got the opportunity”

Dangers

 

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When playing the 4-2-3-1 formation, the two wide men of the attacking three: Graham Carey and Jordan Slew play on the non traditional side. Allowing them to cut in onto their more dominant foot to create shooting chances. The ability to cut in on to their more dominant foot creates nervousness in their opposition full back as he is turned on to his weaker foot.

All of the attacking trio have the ability to carry the ball forward and take on defenders.

This tactic has already been beneficial for Plymouth with 3 of their 11 goals coming with the winger cutting in from his flank to score, including 2 of their last 5. 

Carey has netted all three of these goals, from his position cutting in and either shooting or being found from a cut back.

The attacking three: Carey, Tanner and Slew have either scored or been involved in 7 of Plymouth 11 League goals and 4 of their last 5.

Set Pieces

Plymouth can be very dangerous from any set piece whether it be a corner or free kick. With the delivery of Graham Carey, one of the most potent in the League, Plymouth will always pose a threat from the dead ball. 4 of their 11 goals have been from set pieces with two from corners. One was a short corner which Orient should be weary off having been undone by one at home to Yeovil. 

Danger man

Graham Carey, Argyle’s play maker however do not discount the ability of the attacking threats that Plymouth have at their disposal. Carey has netted 4 goals this term, including 2 of their last 5 goals in the league. All of his goals have been scored in the first half, with the winger opening the scoring in three separate matches for his side.

Orient should be well aware of threat that Carey can pose from dead ball situations having assisted two goals in Argyle’s 3-1 victory at Brisbane Road in April. In fact 3 of the 4 goals Plymouth netted last season were from set pieces.

Since the start of last season – Carey has scored 15 league goals and assisted 14 goals – being directly involved in 29 of Plymouth’s 83 goals scored – 35%

Key Statistics 

  • 4 of Argyle’s 6 wins have been by just 1 goal
  • Plymouth have scored in their last 8 games, scoring at least 2 in five of them
  • 7 of their 11 League goals have come in the first half, with 6 coming in the opening 30 minutes – joint most in the league
  • Have won all six games they have scored first in
  • Have won 10 of their last 12 when scoring first – W10 D1 L1 – defeat away at Exeter (02/04/16 – 2-1)
  • Since the start of last season Argyle have won 27 of the last 32 games they have scored first in  – P32 W27 D3 L2
  • In 2016 – 42 of their 51 points have been when they have scored the opening goal
  • Lost 3 of their last 4 when conceding first
  • Only won 1 of their last 12 when conceding first – W1 D3 L8 – victory came in 2-1 win at Portsmouth (16/04/16)
  • Only taken 14 points from the last 63 available when conceding first – W3 D5 L13

Manager’s Thoughts on the Game

After Andy Hessenthaler left Leyton Orient this morning, Derek Adams insisted “it doesn’t change our thinking, their assistant manager has taken over, it is never a nice thing to happen this early in the season”.

Speaking to pafc.co.uk  on Monday, Adams is relishing the trip back to Brisbane Road after their 3-1 success their in April, “we have performed very well this season and we want to continue that. We had a great result their last time, it is important we go there push them back and bit pressure on them”.

Adams suggested that the stadium and conditions could hold significance to his team selection tomorrow night, “it is a beautiful stadium and the playing surface is great, which the players will enjoy. It is important that we have players on the pitch who can pass and move the ball quickly”.

With three wins on the bounce away from home, the game plan will not change tomorrow according Adams, “we go away from home contain them, then put the pressure on ourselves. We need to pass well, create opportunities then take them. Orient are a team that do like to play direct and we will have to deal with that” He added “to have 19 points from the first 9 games is fantastic and we want to continue that, we need to keep probing and pushing, if we do that we will score a lot of goals”.

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O’s Fall to Back to Back Defeats

Notts County picked up their first home league win of the season after a 3-1 victory over Leyton Orient. After a quiet first half Jonathon Forte and Jonathon Stead both netted within nine minutes of the restart to put County on their way to victory. Defender Louis Laing was sent off for two cautions before Paul McCallum headed home to halve the away side deficit. With Orient pushing forward second half substitute Aaron Collins netted a solo goal to push County up to ninth; Orient drop down to 14th place.

With County still searching for a first home league win of the campaign, John Sherridan opted for the same side that picked up a 3-2 win at Cheltenham last weekend. Jonathon Forte and Jonathan Stead continued in attack having netted 8 of County’s 12 goals before kick off.

county-home-to-orient

County’s Starting 11

Orient, who were unbeaten on their travels so far this season, made only one change to the side that lost 1-0 at home to Yeovil last weekend. Jordan Bowery dropped to the bench while last season’s top scorer Jay Simpson returned to the starting 11.

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Orient’s starting 11

With Orient preferring to play away from home currently, there was no surprise that the away side started on the front foot. Simpson was first to have an effort at goal, after a knock down from his strike partner Paul McCallum, Simpson swiveled but his volley went wide of the post.

Simpson who had missed the start of the campaign with a back injury was the main force going forward however after the ball fell to the former Arsenal man in the box, he could only manage a shot wide of the mark.

County who were playing a 3-5-2 formation were looking to find Stead and Forte when going forward and could have gone ahead just after the quarter hour mark. Following a neat passage of play down the right between Alex Rodman and Matt Tottle,  the latter crossed into the box. The ball fell to Stead, who saw his first effort blocked by Tom Parkes before retrieving possession and forcing Alex Cisak into a save at his near post.

As the game edged towards half time, the pace slowed down in the midfield, with both sides looking to go long to their strikers. County especially were finding joy when looking for Stead who was holding the ball up well for the home side.

The O’s who had picked up 8 of their 11 points away from home were lacking pace, tempo and rhythm to their play, with the midfield failing to gain the initiative in the middle. Harry Cornick and Gavin Massey were non existent in attacking areas with both tracking County’s wing backs.

With the scores level at half time, County knew that their counterparts had an achilles heel as they typically concede just after the restart. Orient had conceded in their last two away games in the first 15 minutes of the second half and yesterday no different for the away side. Following good work in the midfield from O’Connor and Rodman, the ball went wide to the wing back, Tootle. The former Crewe defender, crossed for the unmarked Forte who headed towards goal. Alex Cisak looked to have clawed away the effort only for the assistant referee to award the goal.

With the home side in the ascendancy, they doubled their advantage just two minutes, Stead who had been the danger man for the Magpies was found on the left flank. The former Ipswich striker cut inside, unleashing a fierce low shot beyond the reach of Cisak to put County 2-0 ahead.

Orient threw on deadline day signing Ulnich Nnomo for Harry Cornick for his debut for the East London club. Jay Simpson curled a free kick over for the O’s before a mad minute at Meadow Lane. After Yvan Erichot and County substitute Aaron Collins tangled in the box, it appeared Erichot’s failing arm brought down Collins but appeals were waved away. Straight after, Orient broke forward with Simpson being hauled down by Laing who was already on a booking and was given his marching orders.

With Orient having a man advantage they were pushing for a goal back with Liam Kelly and Jordan Bowery having efforts saved by Adam Collin in the County goal. Collins nearly put the icing on the cake for the home side but after a mazy run could only shoot wide from inside the box.

Orient managed to pull a goal back with three minutes left, Nicky Hunt’s through ball found Bowery in the 18 yard box, he crossed for his strike partner McCallum who headed home.  Six minutes of time were added on with Orient searching for an equaliser however left themselves open at the back which Collins punished brilliantly. After picking the ball up on the half way line, Collins broke away from Nnomo before beating Erichot at the back and sliding the ball beyond Cisak to wrap up the game.

Another week, another defeat, more sloppy defending. It seems like the normality now being an Orient fan. Stead and Forte were left with the space of Meadow Lane to grab the first and second goals. A partnership which has netted 66% of County league goals this term, surely that would have been identified.

The midfield, what midfield you might ask. Well, I wrote about the problems Orient faced at home  to Yeovil last weekend and what they should have done. https://footballanalyst.net/2016/09/19/eavesy-does-it-for-the-glovers/  What happened today? County outnumbered in the midfield, forcing them to go long which was easy to defend. Weir and Kelly were struggling throughout to cope in the middle, with another game seemingly passing Orient’s captain by. The game was crying out for the energy of Nigel Atangana but the Frenchman on the bench.

Going forward Orient seemed to have lost their way, Cornick and Massey have failed to create in the last two games, why? Well, if you cannot control the midfield battle, then the ball will struggle to make it to the wingers. The space for Orient to exploit was in the channels where the wing backs were pushing forward.

However the inability to defend is killing Orient currently, the non existent marking when crosses come into the box and the space allowed for the team’s most potent attacking threat. 11 of Orient’s 12 goals conceded have been in the second half, a major problem that seems to be being avoided. The last three away games, Orient have conceded in the first 15 minutes after half time, what is being said in the team talks? Whatever is, is not working.

With the league leaders in town on Tuesday, it will be another tough test for Orient. What formation and personnel will Orient play, who knows. But I know who my first name on the teamsheet would be Nigel Atangana.

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